What is PredictionBook?
PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions.
How sure are you?
Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionBook allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. You can distinguish between those things you think will probably occur, and those things you're really really sure will occur. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
Created by NathanMcKnight 13 days ago; known on 2016-12-16.
Hillary Clinton will win the United States' Presidential race ( 70% confidence )
Created by BigRaims 9 days ago; known on 2016-11-08.
Created by themusicgod1 4 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.
Hillary wins South Carolina ( 24% confidence )
Created by predictit 13 days ago; known on 2016-11-08.
Created by bobpage 4 days ago; known on 2017-03-02.