What is PredictionBook?
PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions.
How sure are you?
Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionBook allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. You can distinguish between those things you think will probably occur, and those things you're really really sure will occur. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
Created by unexpectedEOF 5 days ago; known on 2045-01-01.
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 2 days ago; known in about 20 hours.
There are ground troops from one or more then EU member states that are at least 1000 persons strong on ground of what is currently Syria at least once before the end of prediction. ( 49% confidence )
Created by kuudes 13 days ago; known on 2016-07-01.
Created by Calien 4 days ago; known in 18 days.
Created by EloiseRosen 7 days ago; known in 23 days.