What is PredictionBook?
PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions.
How sure are you?
Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionBook allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. You can distinguish between those things you think will probably occur, and those things you're really really sure will occur. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
Popular Predictions
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Hillary Clinton will win at least 320 electoral votes in the 2016 Presidential Election ( 75% confidence )
Created by two2thehead 8 days ago; known on 2016-12-22.
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Kim Dotcom will release (either directly or through WikiLeaks or another party) at least 3,000 new and legitimate Hillary Clinton emails, before election day ( 50% confidence )
Created by bobpage 4 days ago; known in 10 days.
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Hillary Clinton will get at least 332 Electoral College votes in the 2016 Presidential Election. ( 80% confidence )
Created by quanticle 8 days ago; known in 10 days.
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359 – 179 Clinton Trump Electoral Result ( 50% confidence )
Created by jesselevine 7 days ago; known in 11 days.