What is PredictionBook?
PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions.
How sure are you?
Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionBook allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. You can distinguish between those things you think will probably occur, and those things you're really really sure will occur. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
Created by bobpage 11 days ago; known in 16 days.
Trump gives another solo press conference in February 2017 ( 30% confidence )
Created by ioannes 10 days ago; known in 1 day.
I will go to the gym 30 more times this semester. ( 50% confidence )
Created by azax1 14 days ago; known on 2017-05-25.
Steve Bannon leaves the Trump Administration in 2017. ( 5% confidence )
Created by ioannes 13 days ago; known on 2018-01-01.
Facebook market cap will not drop below $200 billion at any time in 2017. ( 75% confidence )
Created by Vipul Naik 8 days ago; known on 2018-01-02.