The world will not end in 2012

Created by kimmjaynedowling on 2010-02-09; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by bobpage on 2013-01-01.

  • kimmjaynedowling estimated 95% on 2010-02-09
  • gwern estimated 100% on 2010-07-29
  • kimmjaynedowling changed the deadline from “on 2010-01-01on 2010-08-08
  • kallman estimated 100% and said “Good track record of not ending every year for several million tries thusfar.on 2010-11-23
  • bobpage estimated 99% on 2011-01-21
  • kilobug estimated 100% on 2011-11-18
  • Grognor estimated 100% on 2011-12-06
  • bobpage  judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction