Miley Cyrus will fade out of the spotlight in 2 years with the cut from Hannah Montana

Created by kimmjaynedowling on 2010-02-10; known on 2012-02-10; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-10.

  • kimmjaynedowling estimated 76% on 2010-02-10
  • gwern estimated 40% and said “What to judge on? 4 movies coming: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miley_Cyrus#2010_onwards Doesn’t seem like fading to me.on 2010-07-29
  • kimmjaynedowling changed the deadline from “on 2010-01-01on 2010-08-08
  • kallman estimated 30% and said “She looked to be poisoning her career for a while but she’s not vanishing either. Good thing? Eh.on 2010-11-23
  • gwern said “WP says she’s busy recording her fourth album and is scheduled for a comedy movie. doesn’t sound very ‘faded’ to me; marking wrongon 2012-02-10
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-10.

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