Greece will return to the Drachma and abandon the Euro currency

Created by Afforess on 2015-07-05; known on 2016-07-05; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-05.

• Afforess estimated 80% on 2015-07-05
• modulus estimated 30% and said “The incentives don’t align: Greece doesn’t want to and the EZ doesn’t want to, but it could still happen.” on 2015-07-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-07-06
• quanticle estimated 75% and said “http://www.thestar.com.my/News/World/2015/07/06/Conditions-for-new-talks-with-Greece-not-yet-met-Germany-says/” on 2015-07-06
• kuudes said “I see this as a dupe of http://predictionbook.com/predictions/114687 but with added constraints that there has to be a new currency for Greece and the name of that currency must be Drachma. Do I misinterpret this prediction text?” on 2015-07-06
• JoshuaZ said “That seems like the correct interpretation. ” on 2015-07-06
• Madplatypus estimated 50% on 2015-07-12
• jbeshir estimated 35% on 2015-07-12
• David estimated 35% on 2015-07-19
• Afforess estimated 10% and said “The new bailout agreement almost certainly kills the chances of this happening” on 2015-07-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2015-10-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 40% on 2016-03-22
• qznc estimated 20% on 2016-07-04
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-05.