Lady Gaga will dominate the pop music industry for the next 5 years

Created by alicewilson on 2010-03-22; known on 2015-03-22; judged wrong by Osuniev on 2015-03-28.

  • alicewilson estimated 70% on 2010-03-22
  • kassey estimated 80% on 2010-03-23
  • tjross estimated 20% and said “lets hope not!on 2010-03-23
  • MrHen estimated 30% on 2010-03-30
  • gwern said “What does dominate mean? By sales? Obviously not, since no one has ever sold more than 50% by themselves. Best selling? She isn’t the only one hitting #1on 2010-07-29
  • alicewilson changed the deadline from “on 2010-01-01on 2010-08-08
  • Osuniev  judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-28.

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