Barack Obama will get reelected in two years (not individual opinion)

Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2012-11-06

• tjross estimated 63% on 2010-03-23
• kassey estimated 50% on 2010-03-23
• maskath@hotmail.com estimated 70% on 2010-06-04
• Houshalter estimated 80% on 2010-06-13
• Pavitra estimated 90% on 2010-08-03
• gwern estimated 60% on 2010-08-03
• Jennifer said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/452” on 2010-09-29
• anonym estimated 80% on 2010-11-27
• eurg estimated 70% on 2010-12-13
• Larks estimated 60% on 2011-01-01
• Nic_Smith estimated 60% and said “Following Intrade on this one, which tends to fluctuate around 60% (Currently at 63%)” on 2011-05-23
• Nic_Smith estimated 56% and said “Still following Intrade — Obama’s down slightly but noticeably for roughly the last month and is at 55% today” on 2011-08-04
• bobpage estimated 60% on 2011-08-21
• Nic_Smith estimated 50% on 2011-10-22

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