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LSD microdosing experiment: pair 8: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2012-12-17; known on 2012-12-18; judged right by gwern on 2012-12-17.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2012-12-17
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-17.
  • gwern changed their prediction from “LSD microdosing experiment: pair 6: placebo then active?” on 2012-12-17
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-12-17” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16