World's total fertility rate will fall to replacement rate by 2025. In 1960, women worldwide had an average of 5 children. The rate has since halved, and in 2012, women had an average of 2.5 children across all regions. The World Bank is the source.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-08-29; known on 2025-12-31

• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% on 2015-08-29
• Raahul_Kumar said “Sanjeev’s predictionhttp://pg.jrj.com.cn/acc/Res/CN_RES/MAC/2013/9/9/52879eb4-39cd-49b0-afaf-eeaed99fdc10.pdf” on 2015-08-29
• Raahul_Kumar said “World Bank stating the TFR is 2.5 as fo 2012.http://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/between-1960-and-2012-world-average-fertility-rate-halved-25-births-woman” on 2015-08-29
• Raahul_Kumar changed the deadline from “on 2025-12-31” and changed their prediction from “World's total fertility rate will fall to replacement rate by 2025. In 1960, women worldwide had an average of 5 children. The rate has since halved, and in 2012, women had an average of 2.5 children across all regions. The World Bank shall be the data” on 2015-08-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% and said “Raahul, would you mind in the future putting your comments about relevant data in the comment text rather than in the prediction text itself? It makes things much easier to read. ” on 2015-08-29
• btrettel estimated 20% and said “I assume the “replacement rate” is 2.1 Linear extrapolation suggests the rate would be about 2.34 in 2025.” on 2015-08-31
• EloiseRosen estimated 50% on 2015-09-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “United Nations has world TFR at 2.51 for 2010-15.Taken globally, the total fertility rate at replacement is 2.33 children per woman. At this rate, global population growth would tend towards zero.http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/DataQuery/” on 2015-09-09
• Raahul_Kumar said “Increased literacy would cut birth rates.The benefits could include a dramatically smaller increase in world population by 2050http://lab.rockefeller.edu/cohenje/PDFs/347MakeSecondaryEducationUniversalNature20081.pdf” on 2015-09-10
• Raahul_Kumar said “Worldwide youth literacy rate at 89%: World Bankhttp://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/international-literacy-day-what-recent-youth-literacy-data-tell-us” on 2015-09-10
• Raahul_Kumar said “Because of the high literacy rate, I expect the fertility rate to fall. ” on 2015-09-15
• Raahul_Kumar said “Globally the TFR has dropped from 4.45 in 1970 to around 2.5 in 2014.http://brilliantmaps.com/fertility-rates/” on 2016-02-28