The spot price of NYMEX crude oil will be $100/barrel or higher on December 31, 2015.

Created by dakyne on 2010-05-11; known on 2015-12-31

• dakyne estimated 90% on 2010-05-11
• gwern estimated 70% on 2010-07-30
• dakyne estimated 95% and said “I should upgrade to 99%, but it goes against my conservative nature.” on 2010-09-19

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