The spot price of NYMEX crude oil will be $100/barrel or higher on December 31, 2015.

Created by dakyne on 2010-05-11; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-31.

• dakyne estimated 90% on 2010-05-11
• gwern estimated 70% on 2010-07-30
• dakyne estimated 95% and said “I should upgrade to 99%, but it goes against my conservative nature.” on 2010-09-19
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “It’s $50 today.” on 2015-10-12
• kuudes estimated 0% on 2015-12-27
• Raahul_Kumar said “$37 today, not even closer to being right.http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/clg6” on 2015-12-30
• Raahul_Kumar said “$36.http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/clg6” on 2015-12-31
• Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-12-31.