The world will not end December 25, 2012.

Created by Houshalter on 2010-06-13; known on 2012-12-26; judged right by Qiaochu on 2012-12-26.

  • Houshalter estimated 75% on 2010-06-13
  • maskath@hotmail.com  judged this prediction right on 2010-06-19.
  • maskath@hotmail.com  judged this prediction unknown on 2010-06-19.
  • maskath@hotmail.com estimated 90% on 2010-06-19
  • ozymandias estimated 99% on 2010-06-20
  • ic9nine  judged this prediction right on 2010-06-21.
  • Houshalter  judged this prediction unknown on 2010-06-26.
  • Jack estimated 99% on 2010-07-01
  • zuzak estimated 100% on 2010-07-04
  • gwern estimated 100% on 2010-07-29
  • Pavitra estimated 100% on 2010-08-03
  • kallman estimated 100% and said “Wasn’t it supposed to be the 21st anyhow? Only ends for people dead on that date.on 2010-11-23
  • anonym estimated 100% on 2010-11-27
  • Nic_Smith estimated 100% on 2010-11-28
  • gimpf estimated 100% on 2010-12-12
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 99% on 2011-11-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 100% on 2011-11-13
  • Isaac estimated 100% on 2011-11-13
  • Anubhav estimated 100% on 2011-11-13
  • bobpage estimated 100% on 2011-11-13
  • RobertLumley estimated 100% on 2011-11-14
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 100% on 2011-11-15
  • fnedrik estimated 100% on 2011-11-17
  • kilobug estimated 100% on 2011-11-18
  • Tiresias estimated 100% on 2011-12-20
  • lukeprog estimated 100% on 2012-09-04
  • sdr estimated 100% on 2012-09-13
  • Qiaochu estimated 100% on 2012-11-09
  • alecbrooks estimated 100% on 2012-11-09
  • Ken estimated 100% on 2012-11-12
  • Pablo Stafforini estimated 100% and said “Great filter question. Any answer other than “100” automatically disqualifies someone as a reliable predictor.on 2012-11-24
  • ygert estimated 100% on 2012-12-23
  • Qiaochu  judged this prediction right on 2012-12-26.

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