Hillary Clinton will be the 2016 Democratic nominee for US President.

Created by m2bn on 2015-09-11; known on 2016-07-29; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2016-07-27.

• m2bn estimated 80% on 2015-09-11
• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2015-09-11
• PseudonymousUser estimated 85% and said “http://www.marketwatch.com/story/biden-mum-on-white-house-plans-during-emotional-appearance-on-colbert-show-2015-09-10?mod=MW_story_recommended_tab&Link=obnetwork” on 2015-09-11
• danielfilan estimated 80% on 2015-09-11
• Ben Doherty estimated 70% on 2015-09-11
• Julius estimated 90% on 2015-09-13
• techmech estimated 100% and said “Corruption wins” on 2015-09-13
• JoshuaZ said “techmech, how can you estimate 100% for this and 10% for http://predictionbook.com/predictions/136289 ? Are you asserting a 10% chance that Bernie will run as an independent and win the Presidency that way? ” on 2015-09-13
• PseudonymousUser estimated 87% and said “^Don’t be so logical ;)” on 2015-09-13
• bshih estimated 90% on 2015-09-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2015-09-14
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 85% on 2015-09-14
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “Based on the polls it’s Hillary. Also name recognition and fact that she is a Clinton. It’s in the bag.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016” on 2015-09-17
• mortehu estimated 80% on 2015-09-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2015-09-24
• PseudonymousUser estimated 85% on 2015-09-27
• Medea estimated 70% on 2015-10-08
• PseudonymousUser estimated 65% on 2015-10-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 75% on 2015-10-12
• PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2015-10-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2015-11-27
• Shevek estimated 80% on 2015-12-18
• pkfalu92 estimated 90% and said “She has numerous endorsements.” on 2016-01-07
• RoryS estimated 83% on 2016-01-20
• Jenson estimated 80% and said “More competitite in early states than later ones. Iowa likely win for Clinton (<2 weeks), NH for Sanders. After that, Sanders needs much higher national support to continue winning states.” on 2016-01-22
• NathanMcKnight estimated 90% on 2016-01-26
• Michael Dickens estimated 75% on 2016-01-28
• davidmanheim estimated 85% on 2016-01-28
• hipp0 estimated 90% on 2016-02-04
• EloiseRosen estimated 80% on 2016-02-04
• waveman estimated 67% and said “Don’t feel very confident about this.” on 2016-03-04
• bendini estimated 80% on 2016-03-04
• equivrel estimated 70% on 2016-03-04
• Lissy estimated 75% on 2016-03-09
• waveman estimated 75% and said “Just read superforecasters. Great book. I hope it will improve my predictions.” on 2016-04-21
• PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2016-04-21
• waveman estimated 80% and said “After the last primaries there is no chance for Berbe. But she may still be indicted” on 2016-04-27
• Jenson estimated 94% on 2016-04-30
• JoshuaZ estimated 93% on 2016-04-30
• themusicgod1 estimated 52% on 2016-05-06
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2016-07-27.