Alcor's membership will be 11% or more greater in 2016 than 2015
Created by btrettel on 2015-09-15; known on 2017-01-01
- btrettel estimated 20% on 2015-09-15
- btrettel said “Inspiration: http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/mr9/open_thread_sep_14_sep_20_2015/cqwe” on 2015-09-15
- btrettel said “Data: http://www.alcor.org/AboutAlcor/membershipstats.html” on 2015-09-15
- btrettel said “The data is approximately linear starting around 1990. Linear extrapolation suggests only 3% growth from 2015 to 2016.” on 2015-09-15
- JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2015-09-15
- EloiseRosen estimated 10% on 2015-09-16
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