“That by 2020 a wearable device will be available that will use voice recognition capability and high-volume storage to monitor and index conversations you have or conversations which occur in your vicinity for later searching as supplemental memory.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2020-01-01

  • gwern estimated 90% on 2010-07-30
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/16on 2010-07-30
  • gwern said “I think I could hack this up with existing technology. Another 10 years, with falling Flash technology and expanding smartphone usage? inevitableon 2010-07-30
  • gwern estimated 96% and said “Actually, I think I’d better increase my confidence.on 2010-07-30
  • Grognor estimated 78% on 2011-12-06
  • lavalamp estimated 95% on 2013-02-02
  • drethelin estimated 85% and said “I think it’s basically guaranteed this will be possible by then but plenty of market niches don’t necessarily get built.on 2013-02-02
  • HonoreDB estimated 98% on 2013-02-05
  • JoshuaZ estimated 88% on 2013-02-05
  • Tuxedage estimated 90% on 2013-02-06
  • themusicgod1 said “memory by you or the NSA?on 2016-10-06

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