“Music CDs compatible with current (2002) CD players will still be sold regularly in 2015.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/39” on 2010-07-30
• kallman estimated 90% and said “Don’t see why not – DVD for example can hold so much that it’d be a waste on music :P” on 2010-11-23
• gimpf estimated 90% on 2010-12-12
• PseudonymousUser estimated 93% on 2011-01-21
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2011-10-10
• Grognor estimated 80% and said ““regularly”?” on 2011-12-06
• PseudonymousUser said “http://www.billboard.com/biz/articles/news/digital-and-mobile/5901188/cd-album-sales-fall-behind-album-downloads-is-2014-the” on 2015-01-01
• PseudonymousUser said “http://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2014/09/japan-loves-cds-85-of-songs-still-purchased-on-plastic-disks/” on 2015-01-01
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.