“That by 2024 “artificial” life emerging somewhere out of the soup of human technology will be given a Latin taxonomic name by biologists and others and declared viable for study.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2024-01-01

• gwern estimated 10% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/42” on 2010-07-30
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-01-14