“By year 2036, there will be at least 1 man alive in the U.S. who has fathered 150 children.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known on 2036-01-01

• gwern estimated 10% on 2010-08-01
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/252” on 2010-08-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 54% on 2016-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 15% on 2019-01-14
• pranomostro said “Although: consider anonymous sperm donation.” on 2019-01-14
• deleteyourbrain estimated 80% on 2019-04-26