“By 2025, more than 50% of desktop computers in the world will be running an open-source operating system.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known on 2025-01-01

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2010-08-01
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/270on 2010-08-01
  • gwern said “Either Linux wins, or cloud computing wins – and clouds (like Google’s!) are usually hosted on a Unix…on 2010-08-01
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 66% and said “How “open” does an OS have to be to be open source? Is Android “open source”?on 2011-10-10
  • Pablo Stafforini estimated 35% and said “It will happen eventually, but not likely by 2025.on 2012-10-01
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-07

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