“The U.S. will not pull all of its troops out of Iraq until the 10 largest corporations in the U.S. use their influence to make it happen. I don't see this as a possibility until after Nov. 9, 2010 the next mid-term elections.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2010-11-09; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-11-09.

• gwern estimated 1% on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/346” on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “all combat troops are officially pulled out, but there are a lot of other troops there: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/38744453/ns/world_news-mideastn_africa” on 2010-11-09
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-11-09.