“There will be a casino on the moon by 2040.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2040-01-01

  • gwern estimated 0% on 2010-08-02
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2011-05-24
  • JoshuaZ said “Did you import this from http://longbets.org/377/ ? on 2011-08-21
  • gwern said “yepon 2011-08-21
  • bobpage estimated 0% and said “Even in a really nice post-singularity world where people somehow still like casinos, the moon does not seem like a better location than a space hotelon 2011-08-21
  • Pablo Stafforini estimated 0% on 2012-10-02
  • Michael Dickens estimated 5% on 2013-06-16
  • Ken estimated 0% on 2013-06-17
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 2% and said “Too soon. on 2015-12-07
  • EloiseRosen estimated 1% on 2015-12-08
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 1% on 2015-12-17
  • themusicgod1 estimated 35% and said “moon server hosting+satoshi dice puts the payload size of putting it up there small, if expensive. Mostly just communication issues with the interstellar internet prohibiting this.on 2016-10-07

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