“By 2015 the majority of people who make predictions on this site will have had their genomes sequenced.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by bobpage on 2015-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 0% on 2010-08-02
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/404on 2010-08-02
  • gwern said “even 10K is enough that there’s no way a majority will have spent it.on 2010-08-02
  • gimpf estimated 0% on 2010-12-13
  • bobpage estimated 0% on 2011-01-21
  • bobpage  judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.

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