“By 2025, Albert Einstein's theory of relativity will be considered an untenable explanation for light and gravity by a majority of scientists.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01

• gwern estimated 0% on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/427” on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “the predictor further specifies that neither black holes nor dark matter exist. fail.” on 2010-08-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2011-05-24
• Anubhav estimated 0% on 2011-10-12
• themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2019-01-13
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-01-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2019-01-13