“By 2025, The giant impact hypothesis will no longer be the dominant scientific hypothesis for the formation of the Moon.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01

• gwern estimated 1% on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/430” on 2010-08-02
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-01-13
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2019-01-13