“The airline industry, of course, will be toast inside of five years.” —James Howard Kunstler

Created by gwern on 2010-08-04; known on 2014-06-10; judged wrong by ygert on 2014-02-25.

• gwern estimated 10% on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/278 http://www.kunstler.com/ ” on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “An industry as valuable as the airlines doesn’t just die or disappear that quickly.” on 2010-08-04
• waveman said “You need to make the prediction more specific eg airline ticket sales will fall below x% of US GDP (currently y%( by calendar 2017.” on 2014-01-17
• ygert   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-02-25.