“The Obama administration will propose a Federal consumption tax, such as a VAT. “I don't think it will be very soon, but it will be within eight years' time.”" —Tyler Cowen

Created by gwern on 2010-08-05; known on 2017-04-18; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-02-12.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2010-08-05
• gwern said “ http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2009/04/the-new-stealth-tax-that-no-one-is-talking-about-yet.html” on 2010-08-05
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/226” on 2010-08-05
• gimpf estimated 10% and said “Well, “propose” as in “think about loud”. Still unlikely, as political suicide.” on 2010-12-13
• themusicgod1 said “this didn’t happen did it?” on 2017-01-20
• two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-02-12.