“There will be no significant newspapers printed on newsprint in the US by 2012.” (By significant, he seems to mean major market with a traditionally wide circulation.) —Seth Godin

Created by gwern on 2010-08-05; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-08-05
• gwern said “The NYT and WSJ have a long way to go.” on 2010-08-05
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/238 http://sethgodin.typepad.com/seths_blog/2009/04/sixty-to-zero.html” on 2010-08-05
• kallman estimated 5% and said “paid web barriers won’t cut it either, though. ” on 2010-11-23
• gimpf estimated 2% and said “Too bold a claim, yet. And I believe that even in 10 years there will be some newspaper “premium subscriptions”.” on 2010-12-13
• gwern said “hah, that’s obviously wrong. NYT just tried to sell me a newsprint newspaper” on 2012-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.