Vinay Deolalikar's proof of P≠NP will not be accepted by the Clay Mathematics Institute.

Created by gwern on 2010-08-09; known on 2015-08-09; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-09.

• gwern estimated 95% on 2010-08-09
• gwern said “cf. http://scottaaronson.com/blog/?p=456” on 2010-08-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 99% on 2011-05-24
• gwern said “terence tao https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2010/08/10/update-on-deolalikars-proof-that-p%E2%89%A0np/#comment-4885 ” on 2011-06-27
• gwern said “would anyone object to closing this one early?” on 2011-06-27
• David estimated 100% on 2015-07-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 100% on 2015-07-19
• supinf estimated 99% on 2015-07-31
• danohu estimated 90% on 2015-08-08
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2015-08-09.