Nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan in the next 10 years

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-11-06; known on 2025-11-07

• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2015-11-06
• JoshuaZ said “Context: http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/my5/link_an_example_of_the_pink_flamingo_the/ ” on 2015-11-06
• JoshuaZ said “Relevant related predictions: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5552 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/58962 and http://predictionbook.com/predictions/69377 ” on 2015-11-06
• ChristianKl estimated 2% on 2015-11-06
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “All wars between Bharat and Pakistan have been limited wars, over in less than 2 weeks. ” on 2015-11-08
• Josh Holland estimated 1% on 2015-11-09
• n99 estimated 1% on 2022-10-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2022-10-29
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2022-10-30