Mervi Tapola will either cancel or let expire her divorce with Matti Nykänen during the six month waiting period.

Created by mikko on 2010-08-17; known on 2011-02-17; judged right by gwern on 2011-05-11.

• mikko estimated 95% on 2010-08-17
• mikko changed their prediction from “Mervi Tapola has sent papers to divorce Matti Nykänen 16.8. This is the fifteenth time, but according to her, this time it is final. In Finland, there is 6 months waiting period before divorce becomes effective. In the end of waiting period, one has to se” on 2010-08-17
• gwern estimated 65% on 2010-10-29
• gwern said “http://www.hs.fi/english/article/Former+Olympic+icon+receives+two-year+prison+term+for+aggravated+assault/1076154367643 implies not divorced. tentative correct” on 2011-05-11
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-05-11.