“the number of IMAX theaters in the US triples” —dfranke

Created by gwern on 2010-08-23; known on 2013-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2014-01-06.

  • gwern estimated 15% on 2010-08-23
  • gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/1la/new_years_predictions_thread/1dxq?c=1on 2010-08-23
  • gwern changed their prediction from ““he number of IMAX theaters in the US triples” —dfranke” on 2010-08-25
  • kallman estimated 10% and said “1) Expensive. 2) Why would demand triple?on 2010-11-23
  • gwern said “~400 as of 2009, so need >1200; wp only lists 360, no mentions in google of >1200; marking wrongon 2014-01-06
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-06.

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