Givewell adds a charity addressing existential risk to their top charities list in 2016.

Created by EloiseRosen on 2016-01-05; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by mortehu on 2017-01-01.

• EloiseRosen estimated 0% on 2016-01-05
• EloiseRosen said “See discussion here: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176492” on 2016-01-05
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2016-01-06
• PipFoweraker estimated 3% and said “EloiseRosen’s points acknowledged, I’m open to a change of policy / expansion of field.” on 2016-01-06
• mortehu estimated 10% on 2016-01-11
• ChristianKl estimated 2% on 2016-01-12
• lalaithion estimated 1% on 2016-01-14
• Vipul Naik estimated 0% and said “Not gonna happen at this stage. Even to the extent folks at GiveWell think this matters, they would channel those concerns to the Open Philanthropy Project.” on 2016-11-13
• mortehu   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.