The first person to set foot on Mars will have left Earth holding French citizenship.

Created by PipFoweraker on 2016-01-06; known on 2045-01-01

• PipFoweraker estimated 3% on 2016-01-06
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% on 2016-01-06
• two2thehead said “Less likely than it being a German citizen. Same points apply here regarding it being a French citizen.My arguments for it being a German.http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176639Around 20 percent. Less likely though. Need more data.” on 2016-06-15
• two2thehead said “A lot of this variance is from how the Germans would react in the future. Should they decide to remilitarize (to be more specific avoid the passivity they’ve adopted right now), they can roll right over the French.” on 2016-06-15
• two2thehead said “‘Remilitarize’ is used because rocketry, space flight and the like tend to have strong government backing and dual use scenarios for weaponization.” on 2016-06-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-06-15