Kim Jung Un ousted, assassinated, or somehow loses power of North Korea, either internally or from some international influence before year end.

Created by jesselevine on 2016-02-22; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-01-01.

• jesselevine estimated 25% on 2016-02-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2016-02-22
• PseudonymousUser said “Bruce Cumings in https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OUe4__7u_-U convinced me that the Kim dynasty has very firm control” on 2016-02-22
• PseudonymousUser said “https://www.quora.com/How-difficult-is-it-to-assassinate-Kim-Jong-un?share=1” on 2016-02-22
• PseudonymousUser estimated 8% on 2016-02-22
• PseudonymousUser said “Going by the wording of the prediction, I assume this includes all forms of death, regardless of the successor” on 2016-02-22
• Temeraire estimated 7% on 2016-02-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2016-02-23
• jesselevine said “This includes all forms of death, but is worded to include “ousted” or “somehow loses power” ” on 2016-02-23
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 3% and said “Most years end with the leader of North Korea still in power, and I don’t see much evidence that this year is different.” on 2016-03-07
• themusicgod1 estimated 41% on 2016-04-12
• ioannes estimated 3% on 2016-04-21
• two2thehead estimated 2% on 2016-09-02
• Temeraire estimated 0% on 2016-11-30
• two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.