At least one person will die before 2018 from injuries produced during a VR experience, and this will be publicly known.

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-05-17; known on 2018-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2017-12-23.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 75% on 2016-05-17
• PseudonymousUser said “This includes (but is not limited to) injuries from falling, head trauma, or stress-induced heart failure. Bystander deaths (not in VR) also count, e.g. if someone falls on them or smacks them with a controller.” on 2016-05-17
• PseudonymousUser said “https://www.reddit.com/r/VRFail/” on 2016-05-17
• PseudonymousUser said “https://www.reddit.com/r/Vive/comments/4jfwn5/budget_cuts_almost_sent_me_to_the_hospital/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6QscTuxV-8” on 2016-05-17
• ioannes estimated 50% and said “Seems unlikely that this sort of activity (indoors at low speed without dangerous objects around) will lead to injuries serious enough to cause death. That said, crazy stuff happens all the time.” on 2016-05-17
• Ben Doherty estimated 70% and said “People die in their homes from the most benign things. Trip while wearing vr kit, hit your head on a coffee table. Base rate says yes!” on 2016-05-17
• themusicgod1 estimated 57% and said “net result (make you safer or not) might be murky, but someone’s going to have a heart attack wearing one of these probably by then, and news travels fast.” on 2016-05-18
• PipFoweraker estimated 70% on 2016-05-18
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 57% on 2016-05-20
• Ben Doherty said “http://www.cinemablend.com/m/games/VR-Gaming-Could-Cause-Death-Says-Dev-66923.html” on 2016-05-20
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 55% on 2016-05-22
• splorridge estimated 60% on 2016-05-24
• two2thehead said “How long did it take after the proliferation of mp3 players and news stories to come out regarding distracted pedestrians being hit while crossing the street? Some comparison would help I think, even if it is apples and oranges. ” on 2016-05-25
• TiTanTHPS estimated 60% on 2016-05-25
• Ken estimated 80% on 2016-05-26
• PseudonymousUser said “people keep trying to lean on virtual objects https://www.reddit.com/r/Vive/comments/4slnvn/i_fell/” on 2016-07-13
• RoryS estimated 66% on 2016-07-13
• PseudonymousUser said “http://i.imgur.com/xqxPTay.gifv” on 2016-12-01
• PseudonymousUser said “https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/1969135/watch-ronnie-osullivan-fall-over-whilst-playing-on-virtual-reality/” on 2016-12-01
• PseudonymousUser said “http://tass.com/society/982465” on 2017-12-23
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2017-12-23.