Bernie Sanders will drop out on or before June 30th

Created by WilliamKiely on 2016-06-14; known on 2016-06-30; judged wrong by WilliamKiely on 2016-07-01.

• WilliamKiely estimated 82% on 2016-06-14
• WilliamKiely said “https://www.predictit.org/Contract/2796/Will-Bernie-Sanders-drop-out-on-or-before-June-30#data” on 2016-06-14
• WilliamKiely said ““Mr. Reid told Mr. Sanders during their 40-minute conversation that he was entitled to wind down the campaign on his own time. And Mr. Sanders implied to Mr. Reid that he would begin that process…”” on 2016-06-14
• WilliamKiely said ““…after the final primary next week and not take his campaign to the convention floor, according to an aide briefed on the meeting who requested anonymity to discuss a private conversation.” on 2016-06-14
• WilliamKiely said “http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/10/us/politics/obama-hillary-clinton-endorsement.html” on 2016-06-14
• WilliamKiely said “https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mum9wc0tfBs&feature=youtu.be&t=7m6s” on 2016-06-14
• WilliamKiely estimated 79% on 2016-06-14
• Coornail estimated 75% on 2016-06-14
• ioannes estimated 20% and said “Predictors here seem way too high – contrast to the PredictIt market: https://www.predictit.org/Contract/2796/Will-Bernie-Sanders-drop-out-on-or-before-June-30#data” on 2016-06-21
• WilliamKiely estimated 10% on 2016-06-24
• Reactionaryhistorian estimated 30% on 2016-06-24
• WilliamKiely estimated 1% on 2016-06-29
• WilliamKiely   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-01.