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US economic collapse before mar 2017: many banks fail, emergency measures taken by US fed taken & fail, mass drop in available credit, and at least 2 international news sources(la monde, der speigel) using the term 'economic collapse' to describe it

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-06-25; known on 2017-03-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-03-01.

  • themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2016-06-25
  • themusicgod1 said “or equivalent in their respective languageon 2016-06-25
  • ejlflop estimated 5% on 2016-06-25
  • jasticE estimated 2% on 2016-06-25
  • EloiseRosen estimated 2% on 2016-06-27
  • elephantower estimated 7% on 2016-07-02
  • two2thehead estimated 5% and said “Too many boolean ANDs make it unlikely.on 2016-07-03
  • themusicgod1 said “There’s always that delicate fine line between making clear what you mean and having too many premises to evaluate. Too bad there wasn’t just some metric we could use for ‘economic collapse’, like complete lack of cheesecake.on 2016-07-03
  • two2thehead said “Trueon 2016-07-03
  • Osuniev estimated 4% on 2016-11-21
  • Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2017-02-17
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-03-01.