Conditional on Egypt Flight 804 being a terrorist plot, the weak link will not be France or French airport security
Created by two2thehead on 2016-07-07; known on 2021-06-16
- two2thehead estimated 90% on 2016-07-07
- two2thehead on 2016-07-07
- two2thehead said “Related prediction: Superset http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178431” on 2016-07-07
- two2thehead said “This prediction allows for Egyptians with connections to Egypt Air to access and put stuff on flight 804 via a French airport” on 2016-07-07
- elephantower estimated 60% on 2016-07-07
- two2thehead said “Withdrawn because the superset prediction was wrong” on 2021-06-18