'Most phone calls are made via the Internet' in 2014

Created by gwern on 2010-09-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2015-01-21.

  • gwern estimated 5% on 2010-09-28
  • gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#voipon 2010-09-28
  • gwern said “I interpret this as a claim about end-user software, not telecom backend infrastructure development.on 2010-09-28
  • Larks estimated 5% on 2010-09-29
  • Bagricula estimated 30% and said “would require revolutionary reorganization of smartphone industryon 2010-09-29
  • divide estimated 5% on 2010-09-29
  • Houshalter estimated 4% on 2010-10-01
  • Jack said “Define “phone call”.on 2010-10-10
  • jasticE estimated 10% on 2010-10-14
  • Ken estimated 0% and said “probability estimate would be much higher if this were limited to developed countries onlyon 2011-09-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2011-09-13
  • saturn estimated 25% on 2012-03-28
  • RandomThinker said “Pretty sure this didn’t happen.on 2015-01-21
  • RandomThinker  judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-21.

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