Trump will not be impeached during his first term

Created by kjaques on 2016-11-25; known on 2020-11-30; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-08-12.

• kjaques estimated 75% on 2016-11-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 94% on 2016-11-25
• themusicgod1 said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/180178” on 2016-11-25
• Dapple estimated 86% on 2016-11-28
• Temeraire estimated 95% on 2016-11-30
• RainbowSpacedancer estimated 80% on 2016-12-02
• earthbound01 estimated 87% on 2016-12-02
• playablecharacter estimated 98% on 2017-01-02
• pent estimated 95% on 2017-01-21
• Baeboo estimated 60% on 2017-12-14
• arrowinthedark estimated 95% on 2020-08-12
• Deepak said “Trump has already been impeached during his first term ” on 2020-08-12
• sty.silver   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-08-12.
• arrowinthedark said “I’m an idiot. I interpreted this as being impeached and convicted, not just impeached.” on 2020-08-13