Appeals court in Perugia will not increase the sentences of Knox and Sollecito.

Created by komponisto on 2010-09-29; known on 2011-11-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-10-03.

• komponisto estimated 80% on 2010-09-29
• komponisto on 2010-09-29
• gwern estimated 90% on 2010-09-29
• Larks estimated 70% on 2010-09-29
• gwern said “no mention of it being finished any time soon: http://abcnews.go.com/2020/amanda-knox-family-sees-glimmers-hope/story?id=13590719 bumping back 1 month” on 2011-06-01
• komponisto changed the deadline from “on 2011-06-01” on 2011-06-01
• gwern said “latest news is just some italian experts criticizing DNA. bumping back another month.” on 2011-07-03
• gwern said “http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/top-stories/2011/08/01/amanda-knox-must-wait-two-months-for-court-decision-115875-23311782/ 2 more months! arrgh” on 2011-08-03
• komponisto changed the deadline from “on 2011-08-01” on 2011-08-03
• Laurent Bossavit said “tags: international, justice” on 2011-09-04
• fergus estimated 80% on 2011-09-05
• gwern said “both acquitted: http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2011/10/03/501364/main20114867.shtml” on 2011-10-03
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-10-03.