Trump tweeting frequency drops to < 1/week in the month after his inauguration (month of January 21st to February 21st)

Created by ioannes on 2017-01-19; known on 2017-03-01; judged wrong by ioannes on 2017-01-31.

• ioannes estimated 20% on 2017-01-19
• themusicgod1 estimated 29% on 2017-01-19
• two2thehead said “Interesting prediction. Posting here to remind myself to estimate later.” on 2017-01-19
• two2thehead said “So what counts as a month?” on 2017-01-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2017-01-20
• Afforess estimated 15% on 2017-01-20
• ioannes changed the deadline from “on 2017-03-01” and changed their prediction from “Trump tweeting frequency drops to < 1/week in the month after his inauguration.” on 2017-01-20
• ioannes estimated 10% and said “clarified what “month” I was referring to” on 2017-01-20
• atomicspacemann estimated 7% on 2017-01-23
• two2thehead estimated 20% and said “Almost certain he won’t, but I’ll be conservative.” on 2017-01-23
• jbeshir estimated 15% on 2017-01-29
• ioannes   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-31.