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A LessWrong post published during 2017 will become a top-10 post by pageviews on LW by 2018-01-01

Created by Issa Rice on 2017-01-26; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by playablecharacter on 2018-01-01.

  • Issa Rice estimated 10% on 2017-01-26
  • Vipul Naik estimated 13% on 2017-01-26
  • Issa Rice said “I don’t have access to analytics so I can’t judge this. Pretty sure it’s false for LW 1.0. Maybe one of the popular posts on LW 2.0 did well.” on 2018-01-01
  • playablecharacter   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.