UKIP will win the Stoke-on-Trent by-election

Created by elephantower on 2017-02-16; known on 2017-03-09; judged wrong by elephantower on 2017-02-24.

elephantower estimated 60% on 2017-02-16
elephantower changed the deadline from “on 2017-02-16”, changed their prediction from “Stoke-on-Trent UKIP” and made the prediction on 2017-02-16
elephantower changed the deadline from “on 2017-02-17” on 2017-02-16
splorridge estimated 60% on 2017-02-16
elephantower estimated 10% on 2017-02-24
themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2017-02-24
elephantower judged this prediction wrong on 2017-02-24.