Queen Elizabeth II will abdicate before her death.

Created by gwern 13 days ago; known on 2037-03-17

  • gwern estimated 15% 13 days ago
  • gwern said “she has had plenty of opportunity to do so in the past decades, abdication is never mentioned in funeral planning, it would put in Charles, and she likely intends to imitate Queen Victoria (her closest predecessor) in dying in harness13 days ago
  • gwern said “many leaders prefer to die in office. Pope Benedict’s abdication reason doesn’t apply because popes actually run things and so it matters if they’re senile or tired. the Queen is ceremonial and a ‘circus animal’13 days ago
  • ioannes estimated 10% 13 days ago
  • themusicgod1 estimated 13% 12 days ago
  • KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 6% 11 days ago
  • KnaveOfAllTrades said “Are there any noteworthy pathways for this other than an abolition of monarchy? (Indeed, in particular an abolition that did not have terms set to take effect upon her death)11 days ago
  • KnaveOfAllTrades said “I guess a non-marital scandal e.g. if something emerges about Diana11 days ago
  • danielfilan estimated 3% 10 days ago
  • KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 2% 9 days ago
  • orionstein estimated 3% 8 days ago
  • JoshuaZ estimated 12% 7 days ago
  • brunoparga estimated 3% 6 days ago

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