HVD have replaced Blu-Ray by 2017

Created by gwern on 2010-10-05; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 10% on 2010-10-05
  • gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#hvdon 2010-10-05
  • gwern said “skeptical because WP has the earliest company projection at a year or two lateron 2010-10-05
  • gimpf estimated 5% and said “Holographic memory proved to be extraordinarily unpractical in the past, several times. Probably another tech to do this.on 2010-12-13
  • bobpage said “HVD has disappeared from that futuretimeline pageon 2016-10-06
  • bobpage estimated 1% and said “< 1%on 2016-10-06
  • themusicgod1 estimated 11% on 2016-10-06
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.

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