HVD have replaced Blu-Ray by 2017

Created by gwern on 2010-10-05; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.

• gwern estimated 10% on 2010-10-05
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#hvd” on 2010-10-05
• gwern said “skeptical because WP has the earliest company projection at a year or two later” on 2010-10-05
• gimpf estimated 5% and said “Holographic memory proved to be extraordinarily unpractical in the past, several times. Probably another tech to do this.” on 2010-12-13
• PseudonymousUser said “HVD has disappeared from that futuretimeline page” on 2016-10-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “< 1%” on 2016-10-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 11% on 2016-10-06
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.