PredictionBook will not be meaningfully integrated into LessWrong.com before 2011.

Created by gwern on 2010-10-05; known on 2011-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 75% on 2010-10-05
  • anonym estimated 90% on 2010-11-27
  • gimpf  judged this prediction right on 2010-12-12.
  • gimpf  judged this prediction unknown on 2010-12-12.
  • gimpf  judged this prediction right on 2010-12-12.
  • gimpf  judged this prediction unknown on 2010-12-12.
  • gimpf estimated 75% on 2010-12-12
  • gwern said “/looks around. Nope, LW & PB look exactly the same as they did when I made this prediction. marking righton 2011-01-01
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2011-01-01.

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