There will be at least 1 wide-scale (>100 rioters) racial riot in South Korea in the 2020s.

Created by gwern on 2010-10-24; known on 2030-01-01

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-10-24
• gwern said “http://askakorean.blogspot.com/2006/10/ask-korean-news-literally-growing-race.html” on 2010-10-24
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 15% and said “I don’t know much about riots, but 100 seems to be middle-scale at least. Is that correct?” on 2019-01-09
• pranomostro said “s/at least/at most/” on 2019-01-09
• Baeboo estimated 15% on 2019-01-10