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'Water crisis in southwest USA' in 2021

Created by gwern on 2010-10-24; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-04-08.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2010-10-24
  • gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2020-2029.htm#lakemead” on 2010-10-24
  • gwern said “signals: power shortages, lake mead gone, water rationing, net population declines” on 2010-10-24
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-07
  • pranomostro estimated 50% on 2019-01-09
  • gwern said “seems to’ve been deleted from the list. Lake Mead is low but still there, water not particularly rationed, net population has not declined remotely that I’ve heard of… anyone think this is right?” on 2022-01-01
  • PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-04-08.