Most people own more than one P.C., though the concept of what a “computer” is has changed considerably: Computers are no longer limited in design to laptops or CPUs contained in a large box connected to a monitor. Instead, devices with computer capabilit

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-08.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2010-10-27
• gwern said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#2020-2050” on 2010-10-27
• kallman estimated 65% and said “I’d like “Most people” defined. Assuming “… in the first world”” on 2010-11-20
• themusicgod1 said “between jewelbots, handheld robots, arduino shields in clothing…are we there yet?” on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 60% and said “Not sure if “unexpected” enough.” on 2019-01-08
• Bruno Parga said ““Most people” should be taken to mean “most people”, like “more people do this than not”. Taking only adults is fine. As for what a PC means, smart and even feature phones certainly count.” on 2020-01-01
• Bruno Parga said “I say this fails because of “most people”.” on 2020-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-08.