In about a year this website will have more then 20 active participants per week.

Created by TheScholar on 2010-10-31; known on 2011-10-31; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-02.

  • TheScholar estimated 40% on 2010-10-31
  • TheScholar changed their prediction from “In about a year this website will have more then 20 active participants per week (besides gwern and TheScolar)” on 2010-10-31
  • gwern estimated 20% and said “past performance is no guarantee, but it certainly is pessimisticon 2010-10-31
  • kallman estimated 55% and said “I’m new, that’s a start. Though, how to keep the established folk active too?on 2010-11-23
  • gimpf estimated 10% on 2010-12-13
  • TheScholar estimated 20% on 2011-03-17
  • Sandra Åhlén estimated 20% on 2011-04-04
  • faul_sname estimated 30% and said “20 is not a lot.on 2011-07-01
  • fergus estimated 10% on 2011-08-18
  • Laurent Bossavit said “tags: metaon 2011-09-04
  • gimpf estimated 45% on 2011-10-08
  • JoshuaZ said “How are we judging this? By new predictions there were only 12 people. I don’t know how to include people who only responded (no easy way that I can see to get a list of responses) but from recent responses that’s at least 2 more. on 2011-11-01
  • gwern said “if only 14 people, still missing 6on 2011-11-01
  • JoshuaZ said “ I have gone through and counted recent comments. I’m at 18 people total but without a general list of all activity it is hard to say if I’ve missed people. Does someone else want to do the same and see what total they get? on 2011-11-01
  • JoshuaZ said “Counted 20 names. Took more time than it should have. on 2011-11-02
  • JoshuaZ  judged this prediction right on 2011-11-02.

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