In about a year this website will have more then 20 active participants per week.

Created by TheScholar on 2010-10-31; known on 2011-10-31; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-02.

• TheScholar estimated 40% on 2010-10-31
• TheScholar changed their prediction from “In about a year this website will have more then 20 active participants per week (besides gwern and TheScolar)” on 2010-10-31
• gwern estimated 20% and said “past performance is no guarantee, but it certainly is pessimistic” on 2010-10-31
• kallman estimated 55% and said “I’m new, that’s a start. Though, how to keep the established folk active too?” on 2010-11-23
• gimpf estimated 10% on 2010-12-13
• TheScholar estimated 20% on 2011-03-17
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 20% on 2011-04-04
• faul_sname estimated 30% and said “20 is not a lot.” on 2011-07-01
• fergus estimated 10% on 2011-08-18
• Laurent Bossavit said “tags: meta” on 2011-09-04
• gimpf estimated 45% on 2011-10-08
• JoshuaZ said “How are we judging this? By new predictions there were only 12 people. I don’t know how to include people who only responded (no easy way that I can see to get a list of responses) but from recent responses that’s at least 2 more. ” on 2011-11-01
• gwern said “if only 14 people, still missing 6” on 2011-11-01
• JoshuaZ said “ I have gone through and counted recent comments. I’m at 18 people total but without a general list of all activity it is hard to say if I’ve missed people. Does someone else want to do the same and see what total they get? ” on 2011-11-01
• JoshuaZ said “Counted 20 names. Took more time than it should have. ” on 2011-11-02
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2011-11-02.