Massively parallel neural nets and genetic algorithms are in wide use by 2020. —Ray Kurzweil

Created by gwern on 2010-11-12; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by pranomostro on 2020-02-09.

• gwern estimated 95% on 2010-11-12
• gwern said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#2019” on 2010-11-12
• gwern said “I think this one is already true! they’re common techniques” on 2010-11-12
• halfwit estimated 100% on 2013-06-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 88% on 2016-04-15
• jesselevine said “I’m a third-year neuroscience student. This prediction needs to be clarified about the scope because to some degree this is already true. Human-level connectomics by 2020 though? You’re a dreamer” on 2016-04-15
• pranomostro estimated 98% on 2019-01-08
• Bruno Parga said “As usual with this dude’s predictions, this is underspecified – what’s “wide use”?” on 2020-01-01
• pranomostro   judged this prediction right on 2020-02-09.